Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 1038.926609 1171.071094 1315.422783 1485.113268 1679.507180 1895.678862 2154.880681
2025-12-28 855.096336 1038.954209 1257.197515 1536.700274 1887.062146 2314.199483 2878.149845
2026-01-04 741.857917 947.977090 1206.799786 1558.377676 2027.652238 2638.254700 3502.383799
2026-01-11 658.743881 876.322579 1162.143809 1569.393590 2141.710388 2927.727052 4106.960522
2026-01-18 594.297380 818.070371 1123.566131 1577.132169 2243.725192 3203.680785 4720.468080
2026-01-25 552.046009 783.648606 1111.029940 1615.661623 2388.451701 3551.351855 5480.188453
2026-02-01 512.945940 748.430473 1091.848818 1639.437842 2510.004446 3873.951430 6240.294153
2026-02-08 476.788705 713.199077 1067.880321 1651.223713 2611.166934 4172.481166 6997.687644
2026-02-15 446.895224 684.130791 1049.588081 1668.392957 2720.407719 4493.476125 7834.072612
2026-02-22 423.889488 663.331668 1041.599632 1700.199415 2855.592269 4871.349290 8822.288712
2026-03-01 389.255395 620.671008 994.229939 1660.422680 2861.340369 5020.517605 9401.898086
2026-03-08 356.426574 578.166159 943.257687 1608.905169 2839.432257 5114.712344 9884.288267
2026-03-15 325.463913 536.934174 891.977494 1553.639513 2807.838128 5192.831693 10358.883297
2026-03-22 315.307269 530.442719 899.906382 1606.245184 2985.018164 5694.972149 11797.634053
2026-03-29 301.351843 516.050279 892.446385 1629.062165 3106.335688 6100.131748 13091.186061
2026-04-05 286.993676 499.711619 879.931392 1640.634273 3205.839321 6471.811349 14369.119136
2026-04-12 273.407691 483.658984 866.481808 1648.764718 3298.611818 6839.902202 15699.119418
2026-04-19 265.083666 476.635126 869.233409 1689.248353 3463.657128 7386.568316 17558.257275
2026-04-26 255.425567 466.316330 864.736686 1714.233176 3597.610881 7880.091572 19371.366706
2026-05-03 245.008763 453.741231 854.764283 1726.618905 3704.628873 8324.503721 21136.166158
2026-05-10 235.954315 443.140756 847.815783 1744.662885 3826.348419 8819.870221 23132.314553
2026-05-17 229.084728 436.348535 847.964755 1778.092552 3987.700067 9434.585978 25585.476831
2026-05-24 215.263495 414.611517 815.749672 1736.286409 3963.910127 9576.375039 26679.478874